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Fed Funds Target Rate

US federal funds upper-bound target rate (%, daily)

PropertyValue
Categorymacro
Unit%
Resolution1d
AssetsMACRO
TierBasic
API EndpointGET /v1/macro/rates
Fieldfed_funds_rate

Overview

The upper-bound of the Federal Funds target rate range set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FRED DFEDTARU). The Fed funds rate is the primary tool of US monetary policy and the anchor for short-term USD interest rates globally. Daily frequency, expressed in percent.

Interpretation

  • Rising rates: tightening policy, restrictive conditions — historically correlated with BTC drawdowns and bear markets.
  • Falling rates: easing policy, accommodative conditions — historically the regime in which BTC bull markets begin.
  • Rate plateaus at cycle peaks have often marked the late-stage opportunity for BTC accumulation ahead of cuts.

Use Cases

  • Use as the foundational input to all BTC macro overlay models.
  • Compare to macro_ust_2y to extract market-implied policy expectations versus the actual policy rate.
  • Track alongside macro_fed_balance_sheet to assess the full stance of monetary policy.

API Usage

curl -H "Authorization: Bearer YOUR_API_KEY" \
"https://api.blocklens.co/v1/macro/rates?start_date=2024-01-01&end_date=2024-12-31&limit=365"