Skip to main content

Real 10-Year Yield

10Y Treasury yield minus 12-month CPI YoY (%, daily)

PropertyValue
Categorymacro
Unit%
Resolution1d
AssetsMACRO
TierBasic
API EndpointGET /v1/macro/liquidity
Fieldreal_yield

Overview

Real 10-Year Yield, computed as the nominal 10-year Treasury yield minus the 12-month CPI year-over-year inflation rate (macro_ust_10y − macro_cpi YoY). Daily frequency, expressed in percent. A simple market proxy for the inflation-adjusted return on a long-duration risk-free bond.

Interpretation

  • Rising real yields: tighter monetary conditions in real terms — historically a strong headwind for non-yielding assets including gold and Bitcoin.
  • Falling or negative real yields: inflation outpacing nominal rates — historically a tailwind for hard assets and BTC.
  • Real yields have been the dominant single driver of gold and a meaningful driver of BTC valuation since 2020.

Use Cases

  • Use as a primary discount-rate input for BTC fair-value models.
  • Cross-reference with TIPS-based real yields (sourced externally) to validate the simpler CPI-derived approximation.
  • Combine with macro_dxy to assess the joint backdrop of dollar strength and real rates that governs gold and BTC.

API Usage

curl -H "Authorization: Bearer YOUR_API_KEY" \
"https://api.blocklens.co/v1/macro/liquidity?start_date=2024-01-01&end_date=2024-12-31&limit=365"